所属单位：环境与市政工程学院

发表刊物：Energy

关键字：中文关键字：碳交易；电力系统；模糊集；优化；随机规划；不确定性，英文关键字：Carbon trading, Electric power systems, Fuzzy sets

摘要：In this study, a FFSP (full-infinite fuzzy stochastic programming) method is developed for planning MEPS (municipal electric power systems) associated with GHG (greenhouse gas) control under uncertainty. FFSP can deal with multiple uncertainties presented in terms of fuzzy sets, functional intervals, and random variables. FFSP is also applied to a case study of Beijing for managing MEPS, and reducing the GHG emission through introducing the EU ETS (European Union greenhouse gas emission trading scheme). The results indicate that reasonable solutions have been generated, which can be used for generating schemes of energy resources, electricity production/allocation, and capacity expansion under various economic costs and GHG reduction requirements. The case study demonstrates that FFSP can increase the abilities of reflecting complexities for dynamics of capacity expansion and interaction of multiple uncertainties in MEPS. The results allow in-depth analyses of trade-offs between GHG mitigation and economic objective as well as those between system cost and decision makers' satisfaction degree. Besides, this study can also provide an example to help China construct domestic carbon trading market at municipal scale for addressing the challenges of global climate change.

备注：祝颖

合写作者：S.,Zhu,Y.,Li,Y.P.*,Huang,G.H.,Fan,Y.R.Nie

第一作者：祝颖

论文类型：期刊论文

卷号：卷：88

期号：期：

页面范围：页：636-649

是否译文：否

发表时间：2015-06-01